The Independent Advisor to the Vanguard Investor Harvard Case Solution & Analysis

CUSTOMER LIFETIME VALUE

The total respondents of 5074 are actually our total customers rather than 424934 people to whom we have mailed because not all of them have responded to our Newsletter. Our average net cash per period was $6445.2 hence we have divided our net cash of $6445.2 with our total customers, 5074 to get $1.27 as our profit per customer per period. Out of the total initial subscribers 50% re-subscribed to the services which means our conversion rate is of 50%. After this, the initial price of subscription was of $139 and discounted price was $99, therefore our discount rate is 29%. Using the customer lifetime value formula our customer lifetime value is $0.8. The customer lifetime value is shown in exhibit 3.

Breakeven response rates

The total revenue for each of the first 4 lists is $1050, $7000, $15000 and $25000. The total revenue is calculated after multiplying total number of names with average purchase. We have calculated cost of promotion after adding CPM and other costs like Printing, Letter shop, Postage, and fulfillment cost together. To get our breakeven response rate to match our rate of Investment we have divided cost of promotion with total revenue. The break even response rates are 50%, 7%, 3%, and 2% for the four recommended mailing lists for future prospecting. The break even response rates are shown in exhibit 4.

The past experience have shown that the average response rate that the Newsletter had got was of 1.19%. In comparison to that all the response rates are higher than the average rate. The only mailing list they can buy can be of Business Magazine as its response rate is 2% which is near to Dan Silver Newsletter Company.

EXHIBITS

exhibit 1
rented names 500000
profit                                    64,452
profit per rented names  $                                    0.13
fixed cost per name  $                                    0.15
Profit/loss  $                                    0.02

 

exhibit 2
total fixed cost  $                          72,750.00
respondents 5223
cash 56
in-mail cost 219692
Net cash  $                          72,796.00
respondent % 1.23%

 

exhibit 3
average net cash per period 6445.2
respondents/customers per period                       5,074
Profit per customer per period  $                     1.27
conversion rates 50%
discounted rate
initial value 139
discounted price 99
discounted rate 29%
customer lifetime value  $                     0.80
customer lifetime value     = (Profit per customer per period * retention rate)/(1+ discounted rate - retention rate)

 

exhibit 4
BREAK EVEN RESPONSE RATE
Financial newsletter health Newsletter Personal finance magazine Business Magazine
No. of names(000) 15 200 500 1000
Avergae purchase 70 35 30 25
Total revenue 1050 7000 15000 25000
CPM 200 170 150 150
Printing 242.5 242.5 242.5 242.5
Letter shop 45 45 45 45
Postage 23 23 23 23
fulfillment cost 12 12 12 12
cost of promotion 522.5 492.5 472.5 472.5
ROI 2.0 14.2 31.7 52.9
RESPONDENTS(000) 0.15 2 5 10
BREAK EVEN RESPONSE RATE 50% 7% 3% 2%

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