Flinder Valves and Controls Inc. Harvard Case Solution & Analysis

Question-4:

The benefits and the risks associated with RSE’s merger with FVC was that RSE would gain synergistic edge due to the expertise that FVC had in their engineering field while ensuring that RSE would be able to diversify its operations as well. The kind of machinery and strength RSE had to support FVC and grow it, was substantial therefore by merging with FVC, Elliot was actually investing in that firm to grow it and in turn increase its cash flows as well. The other point under consideration was the contract that FVC was negotiating with the US Government which could prove to be very fruitful for RSE in the future. This is why FVC grabbed Elliot’s attention for it to be acquired while giving them the opportunity to diversify their operations and increasing their cash flows. Although the risks were the high incentives provided to Flinder and his likely retirement which was near in a few years.

The issues with the use of RSE International Scrip was that FVC would end up acquiring many of the shares of RSE since Auden company was already informed of that they will sell the shares of RSE as they won’t be interested in keeping the minority interest. If these shares are also purchased by FVC then they might gain substantial voting rights in RSE.

The relationship between RSE and Auden Company seems to be neutral. It’s just that Auden Company was a sales distribution channel which was generating 15% sales for FVC over the years and later on owned 20% rights of the company. It was Auden Company that pushed the proposal for merger in the market.

As substantial uncertainty regarding the potential benefits of new military technology ‘Gyre’ was prevailing in the market, Bill Flinders was not able to anticipate the benefit of this technology. But this technology was considered as a prime nature with high value of commercialization because other companies were performing research and experimental work at that time when Flinders was going to develop this. It was Elliot who had anticipated investing in the research and development of this technology to achieve potential gains out of it. Since this technology was developed by FVC and RSE was going to push this research further therefore the benefits would be equally distributed among both the companies. But the point to be noted here is that after acquiring FVC, RSE would be sole party for availing the benefits of this technology but it would transfer certain benefits to FVC in the form of bonuses and shares.

Exhibit 1: DCF Valuation

 

Assumptions
Tax rate 40%
Growth Rate 4.8%
Discount Rate 7.2%
Shares Outstanding 2,440,000
Share Price  $             39.75
Market Capitalization  $     6,990,000
Current Forecasted
Free Cash Flow 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TV
EBIT 9,612     12,412     13,390     14,820     16,510     18,460
Less: Taxes 4,037       4,965       5,356       5,928       6,604       7,384
NOPAT 5,575       7,447       8,034       8,892       9,906     11,076
Add: Depreciation and Amortization       1,660       1,828       2,012       2,212       2,432
Less: Change in Net Working Capital       3,491       2,184       2,456       2,729       3,002
Less: CAPEX       2,490       2,742       3,018       3,318       3,648
FCF       3,126     4,936     5,430     6,071     6,858
Terminal Value      285,750
     
PV of FCF 2916 4295 4408 4597 4844    201,842
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value              222,903
Equity Value    222,902,832.84
Equity Value/Share  $                   91.35

Exhibit-2: Sensitivity Analysis

Assumptions
Tax rate 40%
Growth Rate 4.8%
Discount Rate 7.2%
Shares Outstanding 2,440,000
Worst Case Scenario
  Actual Projected
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Sales (increase by 10%) $49,364 $54,300 $59,730 $65,703 $72,274 $79,501
Cost of goods sold (increase by 10%)         37,044    40,748    44,823    49,306    54,236      59,660
Gross profit         12,320    13,552    14,907    16,398    18,038      19,841
Selling, general, and administrative (increase by 10%)           2,936      3,230      3,553      3,908      4,299        4,728
Other income—net              228         240         264         288         320           352
Income before taxes           9,612    10,562    11,619    12,778    14,059      15,465
Taxes           4,037      4,225      4,647      5,111      5,624        6,186
Net income $5,575      6,337 $6,971 $7,667 $8,435 $9,279
Best Scenario
  Actual Projected
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Sales (increase by 15%) $49,364 $56,769 $65,284 $75,076 $86,338 $99,289
Cost of goods sold (incease by 8%)         37,044    40,008    43,208    46,665    50,398      54,430
Gross profit         12,320    16,761    22,076    28,412    35,940      44,859
Selling, general, and administrative (incease by 5%)           2,936      3,083      3,237      3,399      3,569        3,747
Other income—net              228         240         264         288         320           352
Income before taxes           9,612    13,918    19,103    25,301    32,691      41,464
Taxes           4,037      5,567      7,641    10,120    13,077      16,585
Net income $5,575 $8,351 $11,462 $15,181 $19,615 $24,878
Worst Case Scenario Current Fore casted
Free Cash Flow 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TV
EBIT 9,612     10,562      11,619      12,778      14,059       15,465
Less: Taxes 4,037       4,225       4,647       5,111       5,624         6,186
NOPAT 5,575       6,337       6,971       7,667       8,435         9,279
Add: Depreciation and Amortization       1,660       1,828       2,012       2,212         2,432
Less: Change in Net Working Capital       3,491       2,184       2,456       2,729         3,002
Less: CAPEX       2,490       2,742       3,018       3,318         3,648
FCF   2,016 3,873 4,205 4,600 5,061
Terminal Value          210,875.65
PV of FCF 1881 3370 3413 3484 3575        148,954.11
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value         164,677
Equity Value    164,677,198
Equity Value/Share  $            67.49
Best Scenario Current Fore casted
Free Cash Flow 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TV
EBIT 9,612     13,918      19,103      25,301      32,691       41,464
Less: Taxes 4,037       5,567       7,641      10,120      13,077       16,585
NOPAT 5,575       8,351      11,462      15,181      19,615       24,878
Add: Depreciation and Amortization       1,660       1,828       2,012       2,212         2,432
Less: Change in Net Working Capital       3,491       2,184       2,456       2,729         3,002
Less: CAPEX       2,490       2,742       3,018       3,318         3,648
FCF   4,030 8,364 11,719 15,780 20,660
Terminal Value          860,842.11
PV of FCF 3759 7278 9512 11949 14594        608,064.40
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value         655,156
Equity Value    655,156,286
Equity Value/Share  $          268.51

Exhibit-3: Re-Projections of Income Statement

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Sales $36,312 $34,984 $35,252 $45,116 $49,364
Cost of goods sold       25,924       24,200       24,300       31,580       37,044
Gross profit       10,388       10,784       10,952       13,536       12,320
Selling, general, and administrative         2,020         2,100         2,252         2,628         2,936
Other income—net              92            572            108              72            228
Income before taxes         8,460         9,256         8,808       10,980         9,612
Taxes         3,276         3,981         3,620         4,721         4,037
Net income 5,184 5,275 5,188 6,259 5,575
Cash dividends 1,680 2,008 2,016 2,304 2,304
Depreciation 784 924 1,088 1,280 1,508
Capital expenditures 1,486 1,826 2,011 2,213 2,433
Working capital needs 1,899 3,492 -1,200 4,289 4,757
FCF 5,968 6,199 6,276 7,539 7,083
% Change 3.87% 1.24% 20.12% -6.05%
Growth rate 4.80%
Re-Projected Income Statement
        2,008         2,009         2,010         2,011         2,012
Sales       52,262       55,329       58,577       62,016       65,656
Cost of goods sold       39,259       41,607       44,095       46,732       49,526
Gross profit       13,002       13,722       14,482       15,284       16,130
Selling, general, and administrative         3,110         3,292         3,485         3,690         3,907
Other income—net            293            310            328            347            368
Income before taxes       10,186       10,740       11,325       11,941       12,591
Taxes         4,074         4,296         4,530         4,776         5,036
Net income         6,111         6,444         6,795         7,165         7,554

Exhibit-4: Re-calculation for Enterprise Value

Assumptions
Tax rate 40%
Growth Rate 4.8%
Discount Rate 7.2%
Shares Outstanding 2,440,000
Share Price  $             39.75
Market Capitalization  $     96,990,000
Current Fore casted
Free Cash Flow 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TV
EBIT 9,612     10,186     10,740     11,325     11,941     12,591
Less: Taxes 4,037       4,074       4,296       4,530       4,776       5,036
NOPAT 5,575       6,111       6,444       6,795       7,165       7,554
Add: Depreciation and Amortization       1,660       1,828       2,012       2,212       2,432
Less: Change in Net Working Capital       3,491       2,184       2,456       2,729       3,002
Less: CAPEX       2,490       2,742       3,018       3,318       3,648
FCF       1,790     3,346     3,333     3,330     3,336
Terminal Value      139,018.32
     
PV of FCF 1670 2912 2705 2521 2357      98,196.97
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value              110,362
Equity Value          110,362,332
Equity Value/Share  $                   45.23

 

 

 

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