This study is based on real experiences of several companies that we have worked with, who want to expand their business in emerging markets. The case describes and illustrates the scope of the analysis, which is dedicated to the assessment of foreign currency risk, country risk analysis and decision-making guide in the selection of the target country and the management of risks associated with this decision. The case provides data on four possible target countries for which the methods of forecasting exchange rates (PPP, IRP, IFE, B / P) can be used. The case also provides an opportunity to assess whether the Government is appropriate macroeconomic policies to avoid crises. Finally, the case allows you to estimate the probability of monetary, financial, external debt, and the banking crisis in one or more of the four countries. Though it can be used to study macroeconomic policy decisions, its real purpose is to examine the process of decision-making by management, to identify and manage the risks associated with the expansion in emerging markets.
This study Thunderbird Case. "Hide
by F. John Mathis, Paul G. Keith, John O'Connell Source: Thunderbird School of Global Management 9 pages. Publication Date: October 21, 2007. Prod. #: TB0087-PDF-ENG
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