Fixed Income Arbitrage In Financial Crisis (B): Us Treasuries In December 2008 Harvard Case Solution & Analysis

Question 6

For the short position, KTC should ask its brokers to find any other investor who would be willing to lend 4.25% bond to KTC. Afterwards, the borrowed bonds would be sold by KTC, and must post about cash received from the sales as collateral. From its own capital, it has to post additional 2%. In this dissertation, KTC has received 0.10% interest on the posted additional cash.

For the long position, only 98% of the purchased amount, the lender can lend 98% at 0.15% annual rate. The residual 2% haircut should come from the KTC capital. In addition to this, the brokers tend to require the purchased 10.625% bond in order to be posted as collateral.

Exhibit 1

Term Cash Flow PV Time Weight PV Convexity
0.5 53.125 51.84469138 25.92234569 25.92235
1 53.125 50.5952381 50.5952381 75.89286
1.5 53.125 49.37589655 74.06384482 148.1277
2 53.125 48.18594104 96.37188209 240.9297
2.5 53.125 47.02466338 117.5616584 352.685
3 53.125 45.89137242 137.6741173 481.8594
3.5 53.125 44.78539369 156.7488779 626.9955
4 53.125 43.70606897 174.8242759 786.7092
4.5 53.125 42.6527559 191.9374015 959.687
5 53.125 41.62482759 208.124138 1144.683
5.5 53.125 40.62167229 223.4191976 1340.515
6 53.125 39.64269295 237.8561577 1546.065
6.5 53.125 38.68730694 251.4674951 1760.272
7 1053.125 766.918967 5368.432769 40263.25
SUM 1351.557488 7314.999399 49753.59
Mac Duration 5.41227396
Convexity 33.18051668
Mod Duration 5.371372389

Exhibit 2

Term Cash Flow PV Time Weight PV Convexity
0.5 21.25 20.73787655 10.36893828 10.36894
1 21.25 20.23809524 20.23809524 30.35714
1.5 21.25 19.75035862 29.62553793 59.25108
2 21.25 19.27437642 38.54875283 96.37188
2.5 21.25 18.80986535 47.02466338 141.074
3 21.25 18.35654897 55.06964691 192.7438
3.5 21.25 17.91415748 62.69955117 250.7982
4 21.25 17.48242759 69.92971036 314.6837
4.5 21.25 17.06110236 76.77496062 383.8748
5 21.25 16.64993104 83.24965519 457.8731
5.5 21.25 16.24866891 89.36767903 536.2061
6 21.25 15.85707718 95.14246307 618.426
6.5 21.25 15.47492278 100.586998 704.109
7 21.25 743.7065828 5205.94608 39044.6
Sum 977.5619913 5984.572732 42840.73
Mac Duration 6.121936803
Convexity 37.81352829
Mod Duration 6.055716461

Exhibit 3

Yield to Maturity 
  10.625% bond   4.25% bond    
53.125 21.25
60.86312 84.6570922
570.915 552.98
YTM 11%   15%  

Exhibit 4

  Potential Trade        
Buy 1000 Face value bond at high yield
Price of bond 1418.281
Accrual 23.86986
Total price 1442.151
Sell 1000 face value bond at low yield 1185.6
Price of bond 1256.366
Accrual 11.32004
Total price 1267.686
Borrow at short term overnight rate 174.4647

 

 

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